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Grade 4 · Data & Probability

Probability Experiments

Grade 4 probability formalizes experimental results as fractions: if heads appeared 8 times in 20 flips, the experimental probability is 8/20 = 2/5. This fraction representation bridges informal probability language (more likely, less likely) and the formal probability scale from 0 to 1. First Peoples games of chance demonstrate that probabilistic reasoning is embedded in traditional gaming culture across many nations.

LESSON VIDEO
Lesson video
A short walkthrough to play in class or assign for flipped/at-home viewing.
WHAT STUDENTS WILL LEARN
Predict the outcome of a single event and justify the prediction
Conduct probability experiments using spinners, dice, and drawing from a bag
Record results using tally marks and convert to fractions
Compare predicted probability to experimental results
Connect to First Peoples games of chance: Dene/Kaska hand games, Lahal stick games