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Grade 7 · Data & Probability

Theoretical and Experimental Probability

Theory says a fair coin lands heads 1/2 the time. Reality says flip it 10 times and you might get 7 heads. The gap between theoretical and experimental probability — and why it narrows with more trials — is one of the deepest ideas in probability. Students explore it firsthand through experiments.

LESSON VIDEO
Lesson video
A short walkthrough to play in class or assign for flipped/at-home viewing.
WHAT STUDENTS WILL LEARN
Calculate theoretical probability using favorable outcomes / total outcomes
Design and conduct probability experiments
Compare theoretical and experimental results
Explain why experimental results vary from theoretical predictions